Torino have not won any of their last 15 Serie A matches after conceding a goal, such has been their lack of precision in the final third. Indeed, the last time they won without keeping a clean sheet was back in October, so if Fiorentina can find the net, these two mid-table teams could stay locked together on points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Torino had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest Torino win was 1-0 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
-0.41) 
0.12) 
