Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 58.72%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Torino had a probability of 19.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Torino |
58.72% | 22.04% | 19.24% |
Both teams to score 53.55% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.34% | 44.66% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.97% | 67.02% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.12% | 14.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.78% | 43.22% |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.91% | 37.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.12% | 73.87% |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Torino |
1-0 @ 10.51% 2-0 @ 10.01% 2-1 @ 9.93% 3-0 @ 6.36% 3-1 @ 6.31% 3-2 @ 3.13% 4-0 @ 3.03% 4-1 @ 3.01% 4-2 @ 1.49% 5-0 @ 1.16% 5-1 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.63% Total : 58.71% | 1-1 @ 10.42% 0-0 @ 5.52% 2-2 @ 4.93% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.03% | 0-1 @ 5.47% 1-2 @ 5.17% 0-2 @ 2.71% 1-3 @ 1.71% 2-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.54% Total : 19.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Napoli | 36 | 27 | 5 | 4 | 73 | 26 | 47 | 86 |
2 | Juventus | 35 | 21 | 6 | 8 | 54 | 28 | 26 | 69 |
3 | Lazio | 36 | 20 | 8 | 8 | 55 | 28 | 27 | 68 |
4 | Inter Milan | 36 | 21 | 3 | 12 | 67 | 40 | 27 | 66 |
5 | AC Milan | 36 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 60 | 42 | 18 | 64 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 36 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 59 | 43 | 16 | 61 |
7 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 45 | 33 | 12 | 59 |
8 | Monza | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 46 | 46 | 0 | 52 |
9 | Fiorentina | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 50 |
10 | Bologna | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 50 |
11 | Torino | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 50 |
12 | Udinese | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 45 | 44 | 1 | 46 |
13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 44 |
14 | Empoli | 35 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 39 |
15 | Salernitana | 35 | 8 | 14 | 13 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 38 |
16 | Lecce | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 33 |
17 | SpeziaSpezia | 36 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 55 | -26 | 30 |
19 | Cremonese | 36 | 4 | 12 | 20 | 32 | 66 | -34 | 24 |
R | Sampdoria | 36 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 22 | 67 | -45 | 18 |
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