Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.
Result | ||
Torino | Draw | Fiorentina |
45.48% | 25.75% | 28.77% |
Both teams to score 52.52% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.75% | 51.25% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.92% | 73.09% |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.51% | 22.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.94% | 56.06% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.76% | 32.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.26% | 68.74% |
Score Analysis |
Torino | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 10.82% 2-1 @ 9.14% 2-0 @ 8.07% 3-1 @ 4.54% 3-0 @ 4.01% 3-2 @ 2.57% 4-1 @ 1.69% 4-0 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.17% Total : 45.48% | 1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 7.25% 2-2 @ 5.17% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.74% | 0-1 @ 8.21% 1-2 @ 6.93% 0-2 @ 4.65% 1-3 @ 2.62% 2-3 @ 1.95% 0-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.66% Total : 28.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Napoli | 36 | 27 | 5 | 4 | 73 | 26 | 47 | 86 |
2 | Juventus | 35 | 21 | 6 | 8 | 54 | 28 | 26 | 69 |
3 | Lazio | 36 | 20 | 8 | 8 | 55 | 28 | 27 | 68 |
4 | Inter Milan | 36 | 21 | 3 | 12 | 67 | 40 | 27 | 66 |
5 | AC Milan | 36 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 60 | 42 | 18 | 64 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 36 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 59 | 43 | 16 | 61 |
7 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 45 | 33 | 12 | 59 |
8 | Monza | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 46 | 46 | 0 | 52 |
9 | Fiorentina | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 50 |
10 | Bologna | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 50 |
11 | Torino | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 50 |
12 | Udinese | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 45 | 44 | 1 | 46 |
13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 44 |
14 | Empoli | 35 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 39 |
15 | Salernitana | 35 | 8 | 14 | 13 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 38 |
16 | Lecce | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 33 |
17 | SpeziaSpezia | 36 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 55 | -26 | 30 |
19 | Cremonese | 36 | 4 | 12 | 20 | 32 | 66 | -34 | 24 |
R | Sampdoria | 36 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 22 | 67 | -45 | 18 |
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