

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 65.38%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 14.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.76%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Salernitana | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 14.73% ( | 19.89% ( | 65.38% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.14% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.91% ( | 43.09% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.51% ( | 65.49% ( |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.37% ( | 41.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.88% ( | 78.11% ( |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.63% ( | 12.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 61.77% ( | 38.23% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Salernitana | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 1-0 @ 4.51% ( 2-1 @ 4.13% ( 2-0 @ 1.98% ( 3-2 @ 1.26% ( 3-1 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 1.63% Total : 14.73% | 1-1 @ 9.43% ( 0-0 @ 5.15% ( 2-2 @ 4.32% ( Other @ 0.99% Total : 19.89% | 0-2 @ 11.24% ( 0-1 @ 10.76% ( 1-2 @ 9.86% ( 0-3 @ 7.83% ( 1-3 @ 6.87% ( 0-4 @ 4.09% ( 1-4 @ 3.59% ( 2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0-5 @ 1.71% ( 2-4 @ 1.57% ( 1-5 @ 1.5% ( Other @ 3.35% Total : 65.37% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
| 8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
| > Serie A Full Table | |||||||||
