

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 50.88%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 24.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Inter Milan | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 50.88% | 25.05% | 24.06% |
| Both teams to score 50.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.3% | 51.69% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.53% | 73.47% |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.68% | 20.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.3% | 52.7% |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.66% | 36.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.88% | 73.12% |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Milan | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 1-0 @ 11.76% 2-1 @ 9.49% 2-0 @ 9.38% 3-1 @ 5.04% 3-0 @ 4.98% 3-2 @ 2.55% 4-1 @ 2.01% 4-0 @ 1.98% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.67% Total : 50.88% | 1-1 @ 11.91% 0-0 @ 7.38% 2-2 @ 4.8% Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.05% | 0-1 @ 7.47% 1-2 @ 6.03% 0-2 @ 3.78% 1-3 @ 2.03% 2-3 @ 1.62% 0-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.84% Total : 24.06% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
| 8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
| > Serie A Full Table | |||||||||
