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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 11
Oct 22, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Inter logo
Fiorentina
3 - 4
Inter Milan
Cabral (33' pen.), Ikone (60'), Jovic (90')
Bonaventura (36'), Dodo (38'), Amrabat (54'), Milenkovic (79')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Barella (2'), Martinez (15', 73' pen.), Mkhitaryan (90+5')
Acerbi (36'), Inzaghi (38'), Barella (56'), Dumfries (88')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Fiorentina
Monday, October 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Inter Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-0 Salernitana
Sunday, October 16 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 1-2 Inter Milan

 Inter have both scored and conceded in all of their last nine Serie A away matches - each game seeing a total of at least three goals scored in the process - and while Fiorentina are a tougher nut to crack on home soil, form suggests an away win is the likeliest outcome at the Franchi this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 36.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.57%) and 0-2 (5.45%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawInter Milan
36.44% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03) 23.28% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 40.28% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 64.14% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.64% (0.041999999999994 0.04)37.37% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.42% (0.045000000000002 0.05)59.58% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.19% (0.0040000000000049 0)20.81% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.53% (0.0020000000000024 0)53.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.99% (0.040000000000006 0.04)19.01% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.43% (0.061999999999998 0.06)50.57% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 36.44%
    Inter Milan 40.28%
    Draw 23.27%
FiorentinaDrawInter Milan
2-1 @ 8.09% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.21% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.87% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.52% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 2.55% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.66% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 36.44%
1-1 @ 10.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.72% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 3.96% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 23.27%
1-2 @ 8.56% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 6.57% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 5.45% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 4.74% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.72% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 3.02% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.97% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.54% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.25% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 40.28%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Inter Milan

Fiorentina
14.0%
Draw
8.4%
Inter Milan
77.7%
179
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2022 5pm
Inter Milan
1-1
Fiorentina
Dumfries (55')
D'Ambrosio (72')
Torreira (50')
Milenkovic (39'), Saponara (56')
Sep 21, 2021 7.45pm
Fiorentina
1-3
Inter Milan
Sottil (23')
Gonzalez (78')
Gonzalez (78')
Darmian (52'), Dzeko (55'), Perisic (87')
Skriniar (18'), Darmian (63'), Calhanoglu (83')
Feb 5, 2021 7.45pm
Fiorentina
0-2
Inter Milan

Amrabat (60'), Martinez (75'), Pulgar (81')
Barella (31'), Perisic (52')
Perisic (42')
Jan 13, 2021 2pm
Fiorentina
1-2
Inter Milan
Kouame (57')
Eysseric (6'), Bonaventura (27'), Kouame (57'), Julio (80')
Vidal (40' pen.), Lukaku (119')
Skriniar (45'), Eriksen (79'), Vidal (84'), Hakimi (112'), Ranocchia (117'), Sanchez (120+1'), Lukaku (120+3')
Sep 26, 2020 7.45pm
Inter Milan
4-3
Fiorentina
Martinez (45+2'), Ceccherini (52' og.), Lukaku (87'), D'Ambrosio (89')
Barella (7')
Kouame (3'), Castrovilli (57'), Chiesa (63')
Ceccherini (32')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CNapoli37276475284787
2Lazio37218858302871
3Inter Milan372231270422869
4AC Milan371910861421967
5Atalanta BCAtalanta371871261461561
6Roma371791148371160
7Juventus372161055332259
8Torino371411124240253
9Fiorentina371411125042853
10Monza371410134647-152
11Bologna371312125047351
12Udinese371113134747046
13SassuoloSassuolo37129164658-1245
14Empoli371013143747-1043
15Salernitana37915134860-1242
16Lecce37812173143-1236
17SpeziaSpezia37613183060-3031
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona37710203056-2631
19Cremonese37412213469-3524
RSampdoria37310242469-4519
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