Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 57.37%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 20.35%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atalanta BC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atalanta BC.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 57.37% ( | 22.29% ( | 20.35% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.58% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.8% ( | 44.19% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.43% ( | 66.57% ( |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.84% ( | 15.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.24% ( | 43.76% ( |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.33% ( | 35.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.56% ( | 72.44% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 1-0 @ 10.2% ( 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 2-0 @ 9.62% ( 3-1 @ 6.24% ( 3-0 @ 6.05% ( 3-2 @ 3.22% ( 4-1 @ 2.94% ( 4-0 @ 2.85% ( 4-2 @ 1.52% ( 5-1 @ 1.11% ( 5-0 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.62% Total : 57.36% | 1-1 @ 10.51% ( 0-0 @ 5.41% ( 2-2 @ 5.11% ( 3-3 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.28% | 0-1 @ 5.57% ( 1-2 @ 5.42% ( 0-2 @ 2.87% ( 1-3 @ 1.86% 2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0-3 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 1.87% Total : 20.35% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
| 8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
| > Serie A Full Table | |||||||||
