

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 54.88%. A win for Roma had a probability of 22.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Inter Milan | Draw | Roma | 
| 54.88% (  -0.08) | 22.53% (  0) | 22.59% (  0.08) | 
| Both teams to score 57.06% (  0.09) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 57.53% (  0.08) | 42.46% (  -0.08) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 35.13% (  0.07) | 64.87% (  -0.08) | 
| Inter Milan Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 84.61% (  -0) | 15.39% (  0) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.81% (  -0) | 44.19% (  0) | 
| Roma Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 67.43% (  0.11) | 32.56% (  -0.11) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.9% (  0.12) | 69.1% (  -0.12) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Inter Milan | Draw | Roma | 
| 2-1 @ 9.85% (  -0) 1-0 @ 9.38% (  -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.78% (  -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.14% (  -0) 3-0 @ 5.48% (  -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.45% (  0.01) 4-1 @ 2.87% (  -0) 4-0 @ 2.56% (  -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.61% (  0) 5-1 @ 1.08% 5-0 @ 0.96% (  -0) Other @ 2.73% Total : 54.88% | 1-1 @ 10.52% 2-2 @ 5.52% (  0.01) 0-0 @ 5.01% (  -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.29% (  0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.53% | 1-2 @ 5.9% (  0.02) 0-1 @ 5.62% (  -0) 0-2 @ 3.15% (  0.01) 1-3 @ 2.21% (  0.01) 2-3 @ 2.07% (  0.01) 0-3 @ 1.18% (  0.01) Other @ 2.46% Total : 22.59% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 | 
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 | 
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 | 
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 | 
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 | 
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 | 
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 | 
| 8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 | 
| 9 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 | 
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 | 
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 | 
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 | 
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 | 
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 | 
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 | 
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 | 
| 17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 | 
| 18 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 | 
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 | 
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 | 
| > Serie A Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
