Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 52.76%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 24.72% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Lazio win was 2-1 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.