

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 63.04%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 17.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.3%) and 1-3 (7.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.35%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 2-1 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Inter Milan in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sassuolo | Draw | Inter Milan |
| 17.93% ( | 19.03% ( | 63.04% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.83% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.31% ( | 32.69% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.64% ( | 54.36% ( |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.66% ( | 31.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.3% ( | 67.7% ( |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.05% ( | 9.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 67.08% ( | 32.92% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sassuolo | Draw | Inter Milan |
| 2-1 @ 4.84% ( 1-0 @ 3.62% ( 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 2-0 @ 2.1% ( 3-1 @ 1.87% ( Other @ 3.33% Total : 17.93% | 1-1 @ 8.35% ( 2-2 @ 5.59% ( 0-0 @ 3.12% ( 3-3 @ 1.66% ( Other @ 0.31% Total : 19.03% | 1-2 @ 9.63% ( 0-2 @ 8.3% ( 1-3 @ 7.41% ( 0-1 @ 7.2% ( 0-3 @ 6.39% ( 2-3 @ 4.3% ( 1-4 @ 4.27% ( 0-4 @ 3.68% ( 2-4 @ 2.48% ( 1-5 @ 1.97% ( 0-5 @ 1.7% ( 2-5 @ 1.14% ( 3-4 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 3.6% Total : 63.04% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
| 8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
| > Serie A Full Table | |||||||||
