

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 55.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 21.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.25%) and 0-2 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 2-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Inter Milan in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sassuolo | Draw | Inter Milan | 
| 21.96% | 22.2% | 55.84% | 
| Both teams to score 57.34% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 58.31% | 41.69% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 35.9% | 64.09% | 
| Sassuolo Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 67.3% | 32.7% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.75% | 69.25% | 
| Inter Milan Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 85.19% | 14.8% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.91% | 43.08% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Sassuolo | Draw | Inter Milan | 
| 2-1 @ 5.78% 1-0 @ 5.41% 2-0 @ 3.02% 3-1 @ 2.15% 3-2 @ 2.06% 3-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.41% Total : 21.96% | 1-1 @ 10.33% 2-2 @ 5.52% 0-0 @ 4.84% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.19% | 1-2 @ 9.87% 0-1 @ 9.25% 0-2 @ 8.83% 1-3 @ 6.29% 0-3 @ 5.62% 2-3 @ 3.51% 1-4 @ 3% 0-4 @ 2.69% 2-4 @ 1.68% 1-5 @ 1.15% 0-5 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.92% Total : 55.84% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 34 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 70 | 23 | 47 | 83 | 
| 2 | Inter Milan | 35 | 21 | 3 | 11 | 66 | 37 | 29 | 66 | 
| 3 | Juventus | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 66 | 
| 4 | Lazio | 35 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 54 | 28 | 26 | 65 | 
| 5 | AC Milan | 35 | 17 | 10 | 8 | 55 | 41 | 14 | 61 | 
| 6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 56 | 42 | 14 | 58 | 
| 7 | Roma | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 45 | 33 | 12 | 58 | 
| 8 | Fiorentina | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 46 | 
| 9 | Udinese | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 41 | 4 | 46 | 
| 10 | Bologna | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 | 
| 11 | Monza | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 46 | 
| 12 | Torino | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 46 | 
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 54 | -11 | 44 | 
| 14 | Salernitana | 35 | 8 | 14 | 13 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 38 | 
| 15 | Empoli | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 38 | 
| 16 | Lecce | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 32 | 
| 17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 28 | 51 | -23 | 30 | 
| 18 | SpeziaSpezia | 35 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 30 | 
| 19 | Cremonese | 34 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 31 | 59 | -28 | 24 | 
| R | Sampdoria | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 20 | 61 | -41 | 17 | 
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