Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 53.59%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 22.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sassuolo in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sassuolo | Draw | Salernitana |
| 53.59% | 24.07% | 22.34% |
| Both teams to score 51.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.62% | 49.38% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.57% | 71.42% |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.64% | 18.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.53% | 49.47% |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.35% | 36.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.57% | 73.43% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sassuolo | Draw | Salernitana |
| 1-0 @ 11.4% 2-1 @ 9.7% 2-0 @ 9.67% 3-1 @ 5.48% 3-0 @ 5.46% 3-2 @ 2.75% 4-1 @ 2.32% 4-0 @ 2.32% 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.31% Total : 53.58% | 1-1 @ 11.44% 0-0 @ 6.73% 2-2 @ 4.87% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.06% | 0-1 @ 6.75% 1-2 @ 5.75% 0-2 @ 3.39% 1-3 @ 1.92% 2-3 @ 1.63% 0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.77% Total : 22.34% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Napoli | 30 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 66 | 21 | 45 | 75 |
| 2 | Lazio | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 49 | 21 | 28 | 61 |
| 3 | Juventus | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 47 | 25 | 22 | 59 |
| 4 | Roma | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 56 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 53 |
| 6 | Inter Milan | 30 | 16 | 3 | 11 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 51 |
| 7 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 49 |
| 8 | Bologna | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 44 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 42 |
| 10 | Torino | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 42 |
| 11 | SassuoloSassuolo | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 40 |
| 12 | Udinese | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 39 |
| 13 | Monza | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 38 |
| 14 | Salernitana | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 33 |
| 15 | Empoli | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 32 |
| 16 | Lecce | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 28 |
| 17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 26 | 44 | -18 | 26 |
| 18 | SpeziaSpezia | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 26 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 30 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 27 | 54 | -27 | 19 |
| 20 | Sampdoria | 30 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 51 | -32 | 16 |
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