

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 57.51%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 20.19%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.92%) and 0-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atalanta BC in this match.
| Result | ||
| Salernitana | Draw | Atalanta BC | 
| 20.19% | 22.3% | 57.51% | 
| Both teams to score 54.27% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 55.52% | 44.47% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 33.15% | 66.84% | 
| Salernitana Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 64.01% | 35.99% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.23% | 72.77% | 
| Atalanta BC Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 84.79% | 15.21% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.15% | 43.85% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Salernitana | Draw | Atalanta BC | 
| 1-0 @ 5.59% 2-1 @ 5.38% 2-0 @ 2.86% 3-1 @ 1.83% 3-2 @ 1.73% 3-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.82% Total : 20.19% | 1-1 @ 10.53% 0-0 @ 5.47% 2-2 @ 5.07% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.3% | 0-1 @ 10.3% 1-2 @ 9.92% 0-2 @ 9.71% 1-3 @ 6.23% 0-3 @ 6.1% 2-3 @ 3.18% 1-4 @ 2.93% 0-4 @ 2.87% 2-4 @ 1.5% 1-5 @ 1.11% 0-5 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.58% Total : 57.5% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 34 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 70 | 23 | 47 | 83 | 
| 2 | Inter Milan | 35 | 21 | 3 | 11 | 66 | 37 | 29 | 66 | 
| 3 | Juventus | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 66 | 
| 4 | Lazio | 35 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 54 | 28 | 26 | 65 | 
| 5 | AC Milan | 35 | 17 | 10 | 8 | 55 | 41 | 14 | 61 | 
| 6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 56 | 42 | 14 | 58 | 
| 7 | Roma | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 45 | 33 | 12 | 58 | 
| 8 | Fiorentina | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 46 | 
| 9 | Udinese | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 41 | 4 | 46 | 
| 10 | Bologna | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 | 
| 11 | Monza | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 46 | 
| 12 | Torino | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 46 | 
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 54 | -11 | 44 | 
| 14 | Salernitana | 35 | 8 | 14 | 13 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 38 | 
| 15 | Empoli | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 38 | 
| 16 | Lecce | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 32 | 
| 17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 28 | 51 | -23 | 30 | 
| 18 | SpeziaSpezia | 35 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 30 | 
| 19 | Cremonese | 34 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 31 | 59 | -28 | 24 | 
| R | Sampdoria | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 20 | 61 | -41 | 17 | 
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