Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.
