Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 70.98%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Everton had a probability of 11.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.65%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.38%), while for a Everton win it was 1-0 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Everton | Draw | Manchester City |
11.37% (![]() | 17.65% (![]() | 70.98% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.86% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.02% (![]() | 40.98% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.63% (![]() | 63.37% (![]() |
Everton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.46% (![]() | 45.53% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.64% (![]() | 81.36% (![]() |
Manchester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.71% (![]() | 10.29% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.3% (![]() | 33.69% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Everton | Draw | Manchester City |
1-0 @ 3.69% (![]() 2-1 @ 3.3% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 1.45% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 1.95% Total : 11.37% | 1-1 @ 8.38% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.69% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.75% ( ![]() Other @ 0.83% Total : 17.65% | 0-2 @ 12.11% (![]() 0-1 @ 10.65% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.53% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 9.18% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 7.22% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 5.22% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 4.11% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.84% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 2.37% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.87% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.62% ( ![]() Other @ 4.25% Total : 70.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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