

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 33.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.08%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 2-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sassuolo | Draw | Lazio |
| 33.67% | 23.38% | 42.96% |
| Both teams to score 63.09% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.54% | 38.46% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.24% | 60.75% |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.24% | 22.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.55% | 56.45% |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.68% | 18.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.59% | 49.41% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sassuolo | Draw | Lazio |
| 2-1 @ 7.75% 1-0 @ 6.17% 2-0 @ 4.57% 3-1 @ 3.83% 3-2 @ 3.25% 3-0 @ 2.25% 4-1 @ 1.42% 4-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.24% Total : 33.67% | 1-1 @ 10.47% 2-2 @ 6.58% 0-0 @ 4.17% 3-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.37% | 1-2 @ 8.89% 0-1 @ 7.08% 0-2 @ 6.01% 1-3 @ 5.03% 2-3 @ 3.72% 0-3 @ 3.4% 1-4 @ 2.13% 2-4 @ 1.58% 0-4 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.68% Total : 42.96% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Napoli | 32 | 25 | 4 | 3 | 68 | 22 | 46 | 79 |
| 2 | Lazio | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 52 | 24 | 28 | 64 |
| 3 | Juventus | 33 | 19 | 6 | 8 | 50 | 28 | 22 | 63 |
| 4 | Inter Milan | 33 | 19 | 3 | 11 | 60 | 35 | 25 | 60 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 56 | 39 | 17 | 58 |
| 6 | AC Milan | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 39 | 14 | 58 |
| 7 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 45 | 31 | 14 | 58 |
| 8 | Fiorentina | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 46 |
| 9 | Bologna | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 45 |
| 10 | Monza | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 45 |
| 11 | Torino | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 45 |
| 12 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 43 |
| 13 | Udinese | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 42 |
| 14 | Salernitana | 33 | 7 | 14 | 12 | 41 | 54 | -13 | 35 |
| 15 | Empoli | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 26 | 42 | -16 | 32 |
| 16 | Lecce | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 31 |
| 17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 33 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 27 | 51 | -24 | 27 |
| 18 | SpeziaSpezia | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 28 | 54 | -26 | 27 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 33 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 29 | 59 | -30 | 21 |
| 20 | Sampdoria | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 20 | 59 | -39 | 17 |
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