

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 57.52%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 22.08% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.44%) and 3-1 (6.91%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (5.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lazio in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 57.52% | 20.4% | 22.08% |
| Both teams to score 64.03% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67% | 33% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.28% | 54.72% |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.54% | 11.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 63.73% | 36.27% |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.32% | 27.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.76% | 63.24% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lazio | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 2-1 @ 9.56% 2-0 @ 7.44% 3-1 @ 6.91% 1-0 @ 6.87% 3-0 @ 5.38% 3-2 @ 4.44% 4-1 @ 3.74% 4-0 @ 2.91% 4-2 @ 2.4% 5-1 @ 1.62% 5-0 @ 1.26% 5-2 @ 1.04% 4-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.91% Total : 57.52% | 1-1 @ 8.82% 2-2 @ 6.14% 0-0 @ 3.17% 3-3 @ 1.9% Other @ 0.37% Total : 20.4% | 1-2 @ 5.67% 0-1 @ 4.07% 2-3 @ 2.63% 0-2 @ 2.62% 1-3 @ 2.43% 0-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.55% Total : 22.08% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Napoli | 32 | 25 | 4 | 3 | 68 | 22 | 46 | 79 |
| 2 | Lazio | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 52 | 24 | 28 | 64 |
| 3 | Juventus | 33 | 19 | 6 | 8 | 50 | 28 | 22 | 63 |
| 4 | Inter Milan | 33 | 19 | 3 | 11 | 60 | 35 | 25 | 60 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 56 | 39 | 17 | 58 |
| 6 | AC Milan | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 39 | 14 | 58 |
| 7 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 45 | 31 | 14 | 58 |
| 8 | Fiorentina | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 46 |
| 9 | Bologna | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 45 |
| 10 | Monza | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 45 |
| 11 | Torino | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 45 |
| 12 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 43 |
| 13 | Udinese | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 42 |
| 14 | Salernitana | 33 | 7 | 14 | 12 | 41 | 54 | -13 | 35 |
| 15 | Empoli | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 26 | 42 | -16 | 32 |
| 16 | Lecce | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 31 |
| 17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 33 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 27 | 51 | -24 | 27 |
| 18 | SpeziaSpezia | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 28 | 54 | -26 | 27 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 33 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 29 | 59 | -30 | 21 |
| 20 | Sampdoria | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 20 | 59 | -39 | 17 |
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