Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fulham in this match.