Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 50%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 25.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest Fulham win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.