

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 45.91%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brentford | Draw | Southampton | 
| 45.91% (  -0.01) | 25.49% (  -0) | 28.6% (  0.01) | 
| Both teams to score 53.23% (  0.02) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 49.74% (  0.02) | 50.26% (  -0.02) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 27.79% (  0.02) | 72.21% (  -0.02) | 
| Brentford Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 78.12% (  0.01) | 21.88% (  -0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.87% (  0.01) | 55.13% (  -0.01) | 
| Southampton Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 68.14% (  0.02) | 31.86% (  -0.02) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.7% (  0.02) | 68.3% (  -0.02) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Brentford | Draw | Southampton | 
| 1-0 @ 10.59% (  -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.21% 2-0 @ 8.05% (  -0) 3-1 @ 4.66% (  0) 3-0 @ 4.08% (  -0) 3-2 @ 2.67% (  0) 4-1 @ 1.77% 4-0 @ 1.55% 4-2 @ 1.01% (  0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 45.91% | 1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 6.97% (  -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.27% (  0) 3-3 @ 1.02% (  0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.48% | 0-1 @ 7.97% (  -0) 1-2 @ 6.93% (  0) 0-2 @ 4.56% (  0) 1-3 @ 2.64% (  0) 2-3 @ 2.01% (  0) 0-3 @ 1.74% (  0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 28.6% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 | 
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 | 
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 | 
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 | 
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 | 
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 | 
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 | 
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 | 
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 | 
| 10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 | 
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 | 
| 12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 | 
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 | 
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 | 
| 15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 | 
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 | 
| 17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 | 
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 | 
| R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 | 
| R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 | 
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