Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.14%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 40.97% ( | 23.68% ( | 35.36% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.43% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.48% ( | 39.52% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.13% ( | 61.87% ( |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.38% ( | 19.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.43% ( | 51.57% ( |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.66% ( | 22.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.18% ( | 55.82% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 8.71% ( 1-0 @ 7.14% ( 2-0 @ 5.81% ( 3-1 @ 4.73% ( 3-2 @ 3.55% 3-0 @ 3.16% ( 4-1 @ 1.93% ( 4-2 @ 1.44% ( 4-0 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 3.21% Total : 40.97% | 1-1 @ 10.69% 2-2 @ 6.53% ( 0-0 @ 4.38% ( 3-3 @ 1.77% ( Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.67% | 1-2 @ 8.02% ( 0-1 @ 6.57% 0-2 @ 4.92% ( 1-3 @ 4.01% ( 2-3 @ 3.26% ( 0-3 @ 2.46% ( 1-4 @ 1.5% ( 2-4 @ 1.22% ( 0-4 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.48% Total : 35.36% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 23 | 12 | 1 | 63 | 21 | 42 | 81 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 67 |
| 3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 82 | 51 | 31 | 60 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 47 | 9 | 57 |
| 5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 59 | 59 | 0 | 54 |
| 6 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 51 |
| 7 | Montrose | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 48 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 39 | 54 | -15 | 40 |
| 9 | Clyde | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 35 | 68 | -33 | 24 |
| R | PeterheadPeterhead | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 19 | 84 | -65 | 16 |
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