Despite their heavy workload, Inter's winning run can continue at Stadio Maradona, as they seem to be at the peak of their powers - no matter which XI Simone Inzaghi sends out clad in Nerazzurri.
They have actually scored the most goals from open play in Serie A this season - Napoli have incidentally recorded the most from set-pieces - and the visitors' greater goal threat on current form should swing the result in their favour.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
-0.29) 
0.28) 
