Serie A | Gameweek 25
Feb 12, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Napoli
1 - 1
Inter Milan
We said: Napoli 0-1 Inter Milan
Recent Serie A encounters between the top sides have tended to be tight affairs, as caution starts to kick in on the approach to the most crucial phase of the season. With both teams capable of shutting up shop in defence, a low-scoring affair is on the cards - in contrast to the five goals produced in the entertaining reverse fixture - and Inter could just edge it due to their greater array of options from the bench when legs begin to tire. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 41.73%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Napoli win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Inter Milan |
| 33.52% | 24.75% | 41.73% |
| Both teams to score 58.05% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.97% | 45.03% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.62% | 67.38% |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.05% | 25.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.04% | 60.97% |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.4% | 21.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.3% | 54.71% |
| Score Analysis |
Napoli 33.52%
Inter Milan 41.73%
Draw 24.74%
| Napoli | Draw | Inter Milan |
| 2-1 @ 7.82% 1-0 @ 7.56% 2-0 @ 5.1% 3-1 @ 3.51% 3-2 @ 2.69% 3-0 @ 2.29% 4-1 @ 1.19% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.45% Total : 33.52% | 1-1 @ 11.58% 2-2 @ 5.99% 0-0 @ 5.61% 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.74% | 1-2 @ 8.88% 0-1 @ 8.59% 0-2 @ 6.58% 1-3 @ 4.54% 0-3 @ 3.36% 2-3 @ 3.06% 1-4 @ 1.74% 0-4 @ 1.29% 2-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.52% Total : 41.73% |
How you voted: Napoli vs Inter Milan
Napoli
38.2%Draw
22.3%Inter Milan
39.5%157
Head to Head
Nov 21, 2021 5pm
gameweek 13
Inter Milan
3-2
Napoli
Calhanoglu (25' pen.), Perisic (44'), Martinez (61')
Inzaghi (24'), Calhanoglu (41'), Vidal (72'), Handanovic (84'), Dzeko (90+1')
Inzaghi (24'), Calhanoglu (41'), Vidal (72'), Handanovic (84'), Dzeko (90+1')
Apr 18, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 31
Napoli
1-1
Inter Milan
Dec 16, 2020 7.45pm
gameweek 12
Inter Milan
1-0
Napoli
Lukaku (73' pen.)
Brozovic (57'), Lukaku (80'), Skriniar (85'), D'Ambrosio (88'), Handanovic (90+1')
Brozovic (57'), Lukaku (80'), Skriniar (85'), D'Ambrosio (88'), Handanovic (90+1')
Jul 28, 2020 8.45pm
Jun 13, 2020 8pm
Semi-Finals
Napoli
1-1
Inter Milan
Form Guide
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