Serie A | Gameweek 20
Juventus
1 - 1
Napoli
We said: Juventus 1-0 Napoli
Two of the top three defensive sides in Serie A go head-to-head on Thursday, so even with a number of men missing at the back for both teams, there is likely to be little to choose between them. Home advantage bestows a psychological edge to Juve, as they routinely take points off Napoli at their headquarters, and the hosts' squad is more able to withstand the absences afflicting this fiercely-fought contest. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 43.58%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Juventus | Draw | Napoli |
| 43.58% | 26.47% | 29.95% |
| Both teams to score 50.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
