We said: Napoli 2-1 Empoli
Napoli can ride the momentum of their European win on Thursday and overcome the restraints of a depleted squad to secure a precious three points in the league.
Set to be a close-fought encounter - given Empoli have won twice as many as they have lost on the road - the hosts still possess a little extra star quality in the final third, which will prove decisive in the end.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 65.06%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 15.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.02%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-2 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
