Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 49.32%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 27.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Macarthur |
| 49.32% ( | 23.06% ( | 27.62% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.7% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.9% ( | 40.1% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.53% ( | 62.47% ( |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.52% ( | 16.48% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.81% ( | 46.19% ( |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.68% ( | 27.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.23% ( | 62.77% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Macarthur |
| 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 1-0 @ 8.12% ( 2-0 @ 7.32% ( 3-1 @ 5.71% ( 3-0 @ 4.4% ( 3-2 @ 3.7% ( 4-1 @ 2.57% ( 4-0 @ 1.98% ( 4-2 @ 1.67% ( 5-1 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 3.43% Total : 49.32% | 1-1 @ 10.53% 2-2 @ 6.16% ( 0-0 @ 4.5% ( 3-3 @ 1.6% ( Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.05% | 1-2 @ 6.83% ( 0-1 @ 5.84% ( 0-2 @ 3.79% ( 1-3 @ 2.96% ( 2-3 @ 2.67% ( 0-3 @ 1.64% ( 1-4 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.94% Total : 27.62% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 55 | 29 | 26 | 49 |
| 2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 41 |
| 3 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 48 | 33 | 15 | 38 |
| 4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 37 | 24 | 13 | 38 |
| 5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 32 |
| 6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 32 |
| 7 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 29 |
| 8 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 29 |
| 9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 28 |
| 10 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 27 |
| 11 | Macarthur | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 26 |
| 12 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 25 |
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