Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Macarthur |
| 44.32% ( | 24.15% ( | 31.53% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.38% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.04% ( | 42.96% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.64% ( | 65.36% ( |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.42% ( | 19.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.5% ( | 51.5% ( |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.83% ( | 26.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.75% ( | 61.25% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Macarthur |
| 2-1 @ 9.13% ( 1-0 @ 8.35% ( 2-0 @ 6.81% ( 3-1 @ 4.97% ( 3-0 @ 3.7% ( 3-2 @ 3.33% ( 4-1 @ 2.03% ( 4-0 @ 1.51% ( 4-2 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 3.13% Total : 44.32% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( 2-2 @ 6.12% ( 0-0 @ 5.12% ( 3-3 @ 1.49% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.15% | 1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0-1 @ 6.87% ( 0-2 @ 4.6% ( 1-3 @ 3.36% ( 2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0-3 @ 2.06% ( 1-4 @ 1.12% ( 2-4 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.36% Total : 31.53% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 50 | 27 | 23 | 45 |
| 2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 41 |
| 3 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 37 |
| 4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 35 |
| 5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 31 |
| 6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 29 |
| 7 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 28 |
| 8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
| 9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 26 |
| 10 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 26 |
| 11 | Macarthur | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 29 | 43 | -14 | 26 |
| 12 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 25 |
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