Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 48.47%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 28.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Macarthur would win this match.
Result | ||
Sydney FC | Draw | Macarthur |
48.47% (![]() | 23.21% (![]() | 28.32% (![]() |
Both teams to score 60.72% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.67% (![]() | 40.33% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.3% (![]() | 62.7% (![]() |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.12% (![]() | 16.88% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.1% (![]() | 46.9% (![]() |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.04% (![]() | 26.96% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.7% (![]() | 62.29% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sydney FC | Draw | Macarthur |
2-1 @ 9.44% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.09% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.2% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.6% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.27% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.67% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.49% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.9% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.63% ( ![]() Other @ 4.17% Total : 48.47% | 1-1 @ 10.61% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.19% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.55% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.6% ( ![]() Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.21% | 1-2 @ 6.96% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.96% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.91% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.04% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.7% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.71% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 3.04% Total : 28.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 31 |
2 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 24 |
3 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 23 |
4 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 21 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 20 |
7 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 19 |
8 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 18 |
9 | Macarthur | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 18 |
10 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 16 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 16 |
12 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 14 |
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