Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 48.47%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 28.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Macarthur would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sydney FC | Draw | Macarthur |
| 48.47% ( | 23.21% ( | 28.32% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.72% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.67% ( | 40.33% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.3% ( | 62.7% ( |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.12% ( | 16.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.1% ( | 46.9% ( |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.04% ( | 26.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.7% ( | 62.29% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sydney FC | Draw | Macarthur |
| 2-1 @ 9.44% ( 1-0 @ 8.09% ( 2-0 @ 7.2% ( 3-1 @ 5.6% ( 3-0 @ 4.27% ( 3-2 @ 3.67% ( 4-1 @ 2.49% ( 4-0 @ 1.9% ( 4-2 @ 1.63% ( Other @ 4.17% Total : 48.47% | 1-1 @ 10.61% ( 2-2 @ 6.19% ( 0-0 @ 4.55% ( 3-3 @ 1.6% ( Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.21% | 1-2 @ 6.96% ( 0-1 @ 5.96% ( 0-2 @ 3.91% ( 1-3 @ 3.04% ( 2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0-3 @ 1.71% ( 1-4 @ 1% ( Other @ 3.04% Total : 28.32% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 31 |
| 2 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 24 |
| 3 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 23 |
| 4 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
| 5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 21 |
| 6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 20 |
| 7 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 19 |
| 8 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 18 |
| 9 | Macarthur | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 18 |
| 10 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 16 |
| 11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 16 |
| 12 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 14 |
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