Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 50.21%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 25.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 0-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Macarthur in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Macarthur.
| Result | ||
| Macarthur | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 50.21% ( | 24.25% ( | 25.54% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.73% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.86% ( | 47.14% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.62% ( | 69.38% ( |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.19% ( | 18.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.76% ( | 50.24% ( |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.4% ( | 32.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.86% ( | 69.14% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Macarthur | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 1-0 @ 10.24% ( 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 2-0 @ 8.56% ( 3-1 @ 5.34% ( 3-0 @ 4.77% ( 3-2 @ 3% ( 4-1 @ 2.23% ( 4-0 @ 1.99% ( 4-2 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 3.23% Total : 50.2% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( 0-0 @ 6.13% ( 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 3-3 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.25% | 0-1 @ 6.87% ( 1-2 @ 6.44% ( 0-2 @ 3.85% ( 1-3 @ 2.41% ( 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0-3 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 2.53% Total : 25.54% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 47 | 25 | 22 | 41 |
| 2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 40 |
| 3 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 34 |
| 4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 34 |
| 5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 31 |
| 6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 28 |
| 7 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 27 |
| 8 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
| 9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 25 |
| 10 | Macarthur | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 25 |
| 11 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 24 |
| 12 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 23 |
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