Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 59.67%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 18.12%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Adelaide United | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 59.67% ( | 22.21% ( | 18.12% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.97% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.91% ( | 47.09% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.67% ( | 69.32% ( |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.61% ( | 15.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.81% ( | 44.18% ( |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.24% ( | 39.76% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.57% ( | 76.43% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Adelaide United | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 1-0 @ 11.44% ( 2-0 @ 10.71% ( 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 3-0 @ 6.69% ( 3-1 @ 6.17% ( 4-0 @ 3.13% ( 4-1 @ 2.89% ( 3-2 @ 2.84% ( 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 5-0 @ 1.17% ( 5-1 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.33% Total : 59.66% | 1-1 @ 10.56% ( 0-0 @ 6.12% ( 2-2 @ 4.56% ( Other @ 0.98% Total : 22.21% | 0-1 @ 5.64% ( 1-2 @ 4.87% ( 0-2 @ 2.6% ( 1-3 @ 1.5% ( 2-3 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 2.1% Total : 18.12% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 52 |
| 2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 52 | 42 | 10 | 42 |
| 3 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 51 | 34 | 17 | 41 |
| 4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 41 | 24 | 17 | 41 |
| 5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 32 |
| 6 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 32 |
| 7 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 29 |
| 8 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 29 |
| 9 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
| 10 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 28 |
| 11 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 27 |
| 12 | Macarthur | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 26 |
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