Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 43.2%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 32.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.