Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.