Taca de Portugal | Round of 16
Jan 9, 2024 at 8.45pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Estoril
0 - 4
Porto
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 5-1 Estoril
Friday, January 5 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, January 5 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
30
Last Game: Boavista 1-1 Porto
Friday, January 5 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, January 5 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Estoril Praia 1-2 Porto
Having suffered a slip-up in their first outing of the year, Porto will head into the cup tie looking to quickly find their feet. While we expect Estoril to put up a fight at home, where they have been tough to crack of late, Conceicao's men boast the firepower needed to get the job done and we fancy them to come away with the desired result. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 53.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 22.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.88%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Porto |
22.25% ( -0.09) | 24.5% ( -0.01) | 53.26% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 50.3% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
