Bundesliga | Gameweek 18
Feb 7, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Mewa Arena
Mainz1 - 1Union Berlin
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mainz 0-1 Werder Bremen
Saturday, February 3 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, February 3 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-0 Union Berlin
Sunday, February 4 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Sunday, February 4 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Mainz 05 0-1 Union Berlin
Both teams average below one goal per game, so it is set to be a close-fought encounter between two sides low on confidence. The pressure is on Mainz to finally produce in front of their own fans, while Union are showing signs of improvement and boast more depth in the final third. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 52.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 22.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Union Berlin |
52.71% ( 0.03) | 25.17% ( -0.01) | 22.11% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 48.16% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
