

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 63.45%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 16.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | Union Berlin | 
| 63.45% ( | 20.49% ( | 16.06% ( | 
| Both teams to score 52.35% ( | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 56.89% ( | 43.11% ( | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 34.49% ( | 65.51% ( | 
| Freiburg Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 87.07% ( | 12.93% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.62% ( | 39.38% ( | 
| Union Berlin Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 60.12% ( | 39.88% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.46% ( | 76.54% ( | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Freiburg | Draw | Union Berlin | 
| 2-0 @ 10.78% ( 1-0 @ 10.54% ( 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 3-0 @ 7.36% ( 3-1 @ 6.76% ( 4-0 @ 3.76% ( 4-1 @ 3.46% ( 3-2 @ 3.11% ( 4-2 @ 1.59% 5-0 @ 1.54% ( 5-1 @ 1.42% ( Other @ 3.21% Total : 63.44%  | 1-1 @ 9.7% ( 0-0 @ 5.16% ( 2-2 @ 4.56% ( 3-3 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.49%  | 0-1 @ 4.74% ( 1-2 @ 4.46% ( 0-2 @ 2.18% ( 2-3 @ 1.4% ( 1-3 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 1.92% Total : 16.06%  | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 | 
| 2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 | 
| 3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 | 
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 | 
| 5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 | 
| 6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 | 
| 7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 | 
| 8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 | 
| 9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 | 
| 10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 | 
| 11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 | 
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 | 
| 13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 | 
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 | 
| 15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 | 
| 16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 | 
| 17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 | 
| R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 | 
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