

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 48.9%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union Berlin | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
| 48.9% ( | 23.26% | 27.84% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.15% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.08% ( | 40.92% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.69% ( | 63.31% ( |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.06% ( | 16.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.98% ( | 47.02% |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.42% ( | 27.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.89% ( | 63.11% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Union Berlin | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
| 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 1-0 @ 8.3% ( 2-0 @ 7.37% ( 3-1 @ 5.61% ( 3-0 @ 4.36% ( 3-2 @ 3.62% 4-1 @ 2.49% 4-0 @ 1.94% ( 4-2 @ 1.61% Other @ 4.13% Total : 48.9% | 1-1 @ 10.68% 2-2 @ 6.11% ( 0-0 @ 4.67% 3-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.26% | 1-2 @ 6.88% ( 0-1 @ 6.02% 0-2 @ 3.88% 1-3 @ 2.95% ( 2-3 @ 2.62% ( 0-3 @ 1.66% 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.88% Total : 27.84% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 |
| 2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 |
| 5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 |
| 6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 |
| 7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 |
| 9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
| 11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 |
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 |
| 13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 |
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 |
| 15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 |
| 16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 |
| 17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 |
| R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 |
| > Bundesliga Full Table | |||||||||
