Bundesliga | Gameweek 10
Nov 4, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
Freiburg3 - 3Borussia M'bach
FT(HT: 1-3)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Freiburg 1-3 SC Paderborn
Wednesday, November 1 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Wednesday, November 1 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 3-1 Heidenheim
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
We said: Freiburg 1-1 Borussia Monchengladbach
Freiburg have struggled to score goals this season, meaning that they will likely attempt to keep things tight at the back once again, but we expect Gladbach to travel with some confidence after securing back-to-back wins against Heidenheim. As such, we can envisage a low-scoring draw between two sides who are difficult to split in terms of quality, especially with both managers having plenty of injury headaches at present. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.31%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
46.99% ( 2.02) | 22.2% ( -0.22) | 30.81% ( -1.8) |
| Both teams to score 66.16% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
