Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 54.41%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 20.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Estoril Praia |
54.41% (![]() | 25.03% (![]() | 20.56% (![]() |
Both teams to score 46.55% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.98% (![]() | 55.02% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.71% (![]() | 76.29% (![]() |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.8% (![]() | 20.2% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.49% (![]() | 52.51% (![]() |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.34% (![]() | 41.66% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.86% (![]() | 78.14% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Estoril Praia |
1-0 @ 13.46% (![]() 2-0 @ 10.76% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.43% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.74% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.03% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.29% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.2% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.01% ( ![]() Other @ 3.5% Total : 54.41% | 1-1 @ 11.78% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.42% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.13% ( ![]() Other @ 0.7% Total : 25.02% | 0-1 @ 7.37% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.16% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.23% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.51% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.21% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 1.14% Total : 20.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 88 | 27 | 61 | 82 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 84 | 28 | 56 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 65 | 30 | 35 | 71 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 66 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 57 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 54 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 47 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 48 | 53 | -5 | 46 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 45 |
10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 40 |
11 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 38 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39 | 55 | -16 | 38 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 34 |
14 | Nacional | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 34 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 24 | 50 | -26 | 29 |
16 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 27 |
17 | AVS | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 25 | 60 | -35 | 27 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 24 | 59 | -35 | 24 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |