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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Famalicao logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 29
Apr 12, 2025 at 3.30pm UK
Complexo Desportivo FC Famalicao - Campo 2
Estoril

Famalicao
3 - 0
Estoril

Vinicios (63'), Sejk (72'), Dias (90+3')
Vinicios (51'), Topic (69'), Pinheiro Ferreira (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bacher (34'), Pina (66'), Amaral (82'), Carvalho (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Famalicao and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arouca 1-2 Famalicao
Saturday, April 5 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: AVS 0-3 Estoril
Friday, April 4 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Famalicao 2-1 Estoril Praia

This one promises to be an engaging affair given Estoril's knack for finding the net on the road, and although Famalicao have been defensively resolute, they did concede in their last outing at the Municipal to an AVS side not known for their attacking fluency. Nonetheless, the hosts are backed to edge it, fuelled by their impressive run on home soil, which swings momentum in their favour. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 54.41%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 20.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.

Result
FamalicaoDrawEstoril Praia
54.41% (-0.115 -0.12) 25.03% (0.223 0.22) 20.56% (-0.107 -0.11)
Both teams to score 46.55% (-0.766 -0.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.98% (-0.939 -0.94)55.02% (0.94 0.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.71% (-0.782 -0.78)76.29% (0.783 0.78)
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.8% (-0.413 -0.41)20.2% (0.413 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.49% (-0.66500000000001 -0.67)52.51% (0.666 0.67)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.34% (-0.655 -0.66)41.66% (0.655 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.86% (-0.578 -0.58)78.14% (0.578 0.58)
Score Analysis
    Famalicao 54.41%
    Estoril Praia 20.56%
    Draw 25.02%
FamalicaoDrawEstoril Praia
1-0 @ 13.46% (0.32 0.32)
2-0 @ 10.76% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.74% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.03% (-0.101 -0.1)
4-0 @ 2.29% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.085 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.01% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 54.41%
1-1 @ 11.78% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 8.42% (0.302 0.3)
2-2 @ 4.13% (-0.104 -0.1)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 25.02%
0-1 @ 7.37% (0.136 0.14)
1-2 @ 5.16% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
0-2 @ 3.23% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.51% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.21% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-3 @ 0.94% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.14%
Total : 20.56%

How you voted: Famalicao vs Estoril

Famalicao
83.3%
Draw
16.7%
Estoril Praia
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Dec 1, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 12
Estoril
2-1
Famalicao
Carvalho (5'), Marques (30' pen.)
Zanocelo (8'), Pina (66')
Aranda (45+1' pen.)
Dias (33'), Soares (55'), Riccieli (89'), Aranda (90')
Apr 28, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 31
Estoril
1-0
Famalicao
Gomes (34')

Evangelista (38'), Nathan (61'), Youssouf (87')
Dec 17, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 14
Famalicao
1-1
Estoril
Cadiz (14')
Moura (2'), Mihaj (68'), Cadiz (74'), Pablo (85')
Cassiano (5')
Araujo (88')
Jan 29, 2023 8.30pm
Dec 15, 2022 8pm
Group Stage
Estoril
0-1
Famalicao
Colombatto (9' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon34257288276182
2Benfica34255484285680
3Porto34225765303571
4Braga34199655302566
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara34176113632457
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes341412847371054
7FamalicaoFamalicao341211114439547
8Estoril PraiaEstoril341210124853-546
9Casa Pia34129133944-545
10MoreirenseMoreirense341010144250-840
11AroucaArouca34911143549-1438
12Rio AveRio Ave34911143955-1638
13Gil Vicente34810163447-1334
14Nacional3497183250-1834
15Estrela Amadora3478192450-2629
16SC FarenseFarense3469192546-2127
17AVS34512172560-3527
18BoavistaBoavista3466222459-3524


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