Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 53.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 21.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.