

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 47.78%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 26.21% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (8.91%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SC Farense | Draw | Rio Ave | 
| 26.21% (  0.06) | 26% (  0.02) | 47.78% (  -0.08) | 
| Both teams to score 49.9% (  0) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 46.23% (  -0.02) | 53.76% (  0.02) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 24.75% (  -0.02) | 75.24% (  0.01) | 
| SC Farense Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 64.39% (  0.04) | 35.6% (  -0.04) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.63% (  0.04) | 72.37% (  -0.04) | 
| Rio Ave Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 77.49% (  -0.04) | 22.51% (  0.04) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.92% (  -0.06) | 56.07% (  0.06) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| SC Farense | Draw | Rio Ave | 
| 1-0 @ 8.28% (  0.01) 2-1 @ 6.37% (  0.01) 2-0 @ 4.27% (  0.01) 3-1 @ 2.19% (  0.01) 3-2 @ 1.64% (  0) 3-0 @ 1.47% (  0.01) Other @ 1.99% Total : 26.21% | 1-1 @ 12.34% (  0.01) 0-0 @ 8.01% (  0.01) 2-2 @ 4.75% (  0) Other @ 0.9% Total : 26% | 0-1 @ 11.94% (  -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.2% (  -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.91% (  -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.58% (  -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.43% (  -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.36% (  -0) 1-4 @ 1.71% (  -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.65% (  -0.01) Other @ 2.99% Total : 47.77% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 67 | 22 | 45 | 59 | 
| 2 | Benfica | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 56 | 18 | 38 | 56 | 
| 3 | Porto | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 50 | 
| 4 | Braga | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 22 | 19 | 50 | 
| 5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 40 | 
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 38 | 
| 7 | Casa Pia | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 36 | 
| 8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 35 | 
| 9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 | 
| 10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 29 | 
| 11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 28 | 
| 12 | AroucaArouca | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 28 | 
| 13 | Nacional | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 26 | 
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 23 | 
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 23 | 
| 16 | AVS | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 23 | 
| 17 | SC FarenseFarense | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 17 | 
| 18 | BoavistaBoavista | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 15 | 
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