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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 18
Mar 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
The Showgrounds
Larne

Ballymena
1 - 2
Larne

McMullan (8')
(45')
FT(HT: 1-1)
O'Connor (31'), O'Neill (75')
O'Donnell (41'), (78')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Larne.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dungannon 0-3 Ballymena
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Loughgall 0-1 Larne
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 48.98%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 24.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.83%) and 1-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 1-0 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result
Ballymena UnitedDrawLarne
24.06% (-2.421 -2.42) 26.96% (-0.251 -0.25) 48.98% (2.678 2.68)
Both teams to score 45.33% (-1.329 -1.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.25% (-0.678 -0.68)58.75% (0.682 0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.73% (-0.528 -0.53)79.27% (0.535 0.53)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.73% (-2.547 -2.55)40.28% (2.55 2.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.1% (-2.399 -2.4)76.91% (2.404 2.4)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.9% (0.97399999999999 0.97)24.1% (-0.97 -0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.61% (1.365 1.37)58.39% (-1.36 -1.36)
Score Analysis
    Ballymena United 24.06%
    Larne 48.98%
    Draw 26.96%
Ballymena UnitedDrawLarne
1-0 @ 8.83% (-0.393 -0.39)
2-1 @ 5.71% (-0.505 -0.51)
2-0 @ 4.01% (-0.48 -0.48)
3-1 @ 1.73% (-0.289 -0.29)
3-2 @ 1.23% (-0.165 -0.17)
3-0 @ 1.22% (-0.243 -0.24)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 24.06%
1-1 @ 12.56% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-0 @ 9.71% (0.248 0.25)
2-2 @ 4.06% (-0.237 -0.24)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 26.96%
0-1 @ 13.81% (0.73 0.73)
0-2 @ 9.83% (0.775 0.78)
1-2 @ 8.94% (0.113 0.11)
0-3 @ 4.66% (0.487 0.49)
1-3 @ 4.24% (0.17 0.17)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.055 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.66% (0.214 0.21)
1-4 @ 1.51% (0.101 0.1)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 48.98%

Head to Head
Jan 25, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 27
Larne
2-1
Ballymena
Ryan (6'), Sloan (45+1')
(73')
Scott (17')
(42'), (85')
Sep 7, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 6
Larne
0-1
Ballymena

Seary (84')
Kennedy (85')
Rocks (50'), Scott (70'), Devine (86')
Feb 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 29
Ballymena
0-1
Larne

Boyle (68'), Nelson (80')
Bonis (8')
A (49'), Ives (67'), Westendorf (74')
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Ballymena
0-0
Larne
Place (58'), Whiteside (83'), O'Neill (89'), Nelson (90+2')
A (59'), Bonis (90+2')
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Larne
3-0
Ballymena
Bonis (48'), Ryan (82'), Millar (90+5')
Bonis (67')

Nelson (44'), McGuigan (67'), Place (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1LinfieldLinfield37274669274285
2LarneLarne371711946331362
3GlentoranGlentoran371791149371260
4Dungannon SwiftsDungannon37166155048254
5CrusadersCrusaders37166154752-554
6ColeraineColeraine371410135450452
Relegation Round
1CliftonvilleCliftonville371671454401455
2PortadownPortadown37158144644253
3Ballymena UnitedBallymena37145184652-647
4GlenavonGlenavon371110163847-943
5Carrick RangersCarrick37711193255-2332
6Loughgall3757253581-4622
 
Regular Season
1LinfieldLinfield33244561233876
2LarneLarne33159939281154
3GlentoranGlentoran3315994031954
4Dungannon SwiftsDungannon33155134440450
5CrusadersCrusaders33155134143-250
6ColeraineColeraine331310104941849
7CliftonvilleCliftonville33137134437746
8PortadownPortadown33137133938146
9Ballymena UnitedBallymena33134164042-243
10GlenavonGlenavon33109143543-839
11Carrick RangersCarrick3369182448-2427
12Loughgall3346232971-4218


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