Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 42.24%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.94%) and 0-2 (5.31%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.