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Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 45
Apr 26, 2025 at 3pm UK
Priestfield Stadium (Gillingham, Kent)
Swindon Town

Gillingham
1 - 1
Swindon

Gbode (61')
Gale (13'), Williams (67'), Gbode (69')
Williams (90+3'), Gbode (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Wright (67')
Tshimanga (45'), Glatzel (78'), Freckleton (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Gillingham and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 AFC Wimbledon
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 0-1 Bromley
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Gillingham 1-1 Swindon Town

Both teams are evenly matched in their current circumstances, and with Gillingham's drawing habit meeting Swindon's poor history at Priestfield, another stalemate feels like the most fitting outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 36.25%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.65%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (11.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawSwindon Town
36.25% (-0.0019999999999953 -0) 28.5% (0.028000000000002 0.03) 35.25% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Both teams to score 46.31% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.93% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)60.07% (0.092999999999996 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.71% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)80.29% (0.069999999999993 0.07)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.38% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)31.62% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.97% (-0.055000000000003 -0.06)68.03% (0.054999999999993 0.05)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.73% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)32.27% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.23% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)68.77% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 36.24%
    Swindon Town 35.25%
    Draw 28.49%
GillinghamDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 11.74% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.65% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.76% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.94% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.66% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 36.24%
1-1 @ 13.28%
0-0 @ 10.2% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.33% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 28.49%
0-1 @ 11.54% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.52% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.53% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 2.83% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.46% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 35.25%

How you voted: Gillingham vs Swindon

Gillingham
40.0%
Draw
30.0%
Swindon Town
30.0%
10
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 14
Swindon
1-1
Gillingham
Smith (90+4')
Clarke (45+6')
Hall (9')
Dieng (16')
Bonner (10'), Williams (61'), Hawkins (82')
Feb 13, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Gillingham
2-2
Swindon
Hawkins (68'), Mahoney (79' pen.)
Dieng (52'), S (53')
McGurk (24'), McKirdy (90+4')
Blake-Tracy (78'), McEachran (83')
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Swindon
0-1
Gillingham
Mahoney (22')
Clarke (68'), Alexander (79')
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 29
Swindon
3-3
Gillingham
Williams (1'), Austin (57' pen., 78')
Dieng (3'), Wright (9' pen.), Nichols (13')
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 7
Gillingham
0-0
Swindon
Mnoga (6')
Mnoga (10')
Williams (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Doncaster RoversDoncaster4523121071492281
2Port Vale452214965452080
3Bradford CityBradford4521121263451875
4Walsall4520141174542074
5Notts County4520121367472072
6AFC Wimbledon4519131355352070
7Salford City4518141362521068
8Grimsby Town45208176166-568
9Chesterfield4518131472541867
10Colchester UnitedColchester451618115247566
11Bromley451615146159263
12Crewe AlexandraCrewe451517134947262
13Swindon TownSwindon451516147163861
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood451515156059160
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham451612176067-760
16BarrowBarrow451513175250258
17Gillingham451316164046-655
18MK Dons45149225266-1451
19Accrington StanleyAccrington451214195368-1550
20Harrogate TownHarrogate451311214160-1950
21Newport CountyNewport451310225172-2149
22Tranmere RoversTranmere451115194164-2348
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle451011244269-2741
24Morecambe45106293970-3136


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