Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 69.53%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Angers had a probability of 13.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 1-0 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.79%), while for an Angers win it was 1-2 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lyon in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Angers |
| 69.53% ( | 17.17% ( | 13.3% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.14% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.58% ( | 33.42% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.79% ( | 55.2% ( |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.34% ( | 8.66% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 70.16% ( | 29.84% ( |
| Angers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.55% ( | 37.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.77% ( | 74.23% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lyon | Draw | Angers |
| 2-0 @ 9.7% ( 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 1-0 @ 7.93% ( 3-0 @ 7.91% ( 3-1 @ 7.77% ( 4-0 @ 4.84% ( 4-1 @ 4.76% ( 3-2 @ 3.82% ( 5-0 @ 2.37% ( 4-2 @ 2.34% ( 5-1 @ 2.33% ( 5-2 @ 1.14% ( 6-0 @ 0.97% ( 6-1 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 3.17% Total : 69.53% | 1-1 @ 7.79% ( 2-2 @ 4.68% ( 0-0 @ 3.24% ( 3-3 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 0.21% Total : 17.17% | 1-2 @ 3.83% ( 0-1 @ 3.18% ( 0-2 @ 1.56% ( 2-3 @ 1.53% ( 1-3 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 1.94% Total : 13.3% |

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 35 | 57 | 84 |
| 2 | Marseille | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 74 | 47 | 27 | 65 |
| 3 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 61 |
| 4 | Nice | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 66 | 41 | 25 | 60 |
| 5 | Lille | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 52 | 36 | 16 | 60 |
| 6 | Lyon | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 57 |
| 7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 56 | 44 | 12 | 57 |
| 8 | Lens | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 42 | 39 | 3 | 52 |
| 9 | Brest | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 50 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 42 |
| 11 | Auxerre | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 42 |
| 12 | Rennes | 34 | 13 | 2 | 19 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 41 |
| 13 | NantesNantes | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 | Angers | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 36 |
| 15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 40 | 71 | -31 | 34 |
| 16 | Reims | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 33 |
| R | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 39 | 77 | -38 | 30 |
| R | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 23 | 79 | -56 | 16 |
| > Ligue 1 Full Table | |||||||||
