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Ligue 1

Lyon
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 31
Apr 26, 2025 at 8.05pm UK
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Rennes

Lyon
4 - 1
Rennes

Fofana (8'), Tolisso (25'), Lacazette (39'), Mikautadze (77')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Kade Meite (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Rennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: St Etienne 2-1 Lyon
Sunday, April 20 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Rennes

All competitions
Last Game: Rennes 2-1 Nantes
Friday, April 18 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 43.38%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.54%) and 2-0 (5.76%). The likeliest Rennes win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
LyonDrawRennes
43.38% (-0.309 -0.31)22.9% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)33.72% (0.383 0.38)
Both teams to score 64.9% (0.42699999999999 0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.9% (0.502 0.5)36.1% (-0.505 -0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.8% (0.549 0.55)58.2% (-0.552 -0.55)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.81% (0.078000000000003 0.08)17.19% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.54% (0.13999999999999 0.14)47.46% (-0.142 -0.14)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.38% (0.44099999999999 0.44)21.62% (-0.443 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.26% (0.672 0.67)54.74% (-0.674 -0.67)
Score Analysis
    Lyon 43.38%
    Rennes 33.72%
    Draw 22.9%
LyonDrawRennes
2-1 @ 8.83% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
1-0 @ 6.54% (-0.148 -0.15)
2-0 @ 5.76% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-1 @ 5.18% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.97% (0.038 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.38% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.75% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.49% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 43.38%
1-1 @ 10.02% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 6.76% (0.047 0.05)
0-0 @ 3.72% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-3 @ 2.03% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.9%
1-2 @ 7.68% (0.034 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.69% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-2 @ 4.36% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.92% (0.069 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.45% (0.069 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.23% (0.033 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.5% (0.046 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.32% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 33.72%

How you voted: Lyon vs Rennes

Lyon
72.7%
Draw
21.2%
Rennes
6.1%
33
Head to Head
Aug 18, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Rennes
3-0
Lyon
Bourigeaud (19'), Gouiri (21'), Meister (90+1')
Skiri Oestigaard (42'), Assignon (64')

Caleta-Car (44')
> Preview
Jan 26, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 19
Lyon
2-3
Rennes
Henrique (57'), Lacazette (78')
Mata (33'), Nuamah (58')
Terrier (22', 41'), Doue (36')
Santamaria (7'), Stephan (8'), Truffert (66')
> Preview
Nov 12, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 12
Rennes
0-1
Lyon

Salah (45'), Matic (75'), Theate (75')
Doue (5')
O'Brien (67')
Grosso (6'), Tagliafico (79')
> Preview
Apr 9, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 30
Lyon
3-1
Rennes
Tolisso (60'), Lacazette (68'), Barcola (79')
Gouiri (11')
> Preview
Oct 16, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 11
Rennes
3-2
Lyon
Terrier (38', 77'), Gouiri (47')
Lacazette (23', 72')
> Preview