Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 51.67%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 24.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-2 (8.59%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Strasbourg | Draw | Lyon |
| 24.68% ( | 23.65% ( | 51.67% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.81% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.7% ( | 45.29% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.37% ( | 67.63% ( |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.68% ( | 32.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.18% ( | 68.82% ( |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.45% ( | 17.55% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.91% ( | 48.08% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Strasbourg | Draw | Lyon |
| 1-0 @ 6.41% ( 2-1 @ 6.3% ( 2-0 @ 3.62% ( 3-1 @ 2.37% ( 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 3-0 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 2.56% Total : 24.68% | 1-1 @ 11.14% ( 0-0 @ 5.67% ( 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.65% | 0-1 @ 9.87% ( 1-2 @ 9.7% ( 0-2 @ 8.59% ( 1-3 @ 5.63% ( 0-3 @ 4.98% ( 2-3 @ 3.18% ( 1-4 @ 2.45% ( 0-4 @ 2.17% ( 2-4 @ 1.38% ( Other @ 3.73% Total : 51.67% |