MX23RW : Tuesday, April 29 15:06:14| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Strasbourg
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 27
Mar 28, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stade de la Meinau
Lyon

Strasbourg
4 - 2
Lyon

Santos (55'), Bakwa (60'), Emegha (73'), Amo-Ameyaw (89')
Santos (66'), Emegha (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tolisso (62'), Mikautadze (90+6' pen.)
Cherki (82'), Tessmann (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Strasbourg and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Strasbourg 2-1 Toulouse
Sunday, March 16 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 4-2 Le Havre
Sunday, March 16 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Strasbourg 1-1 Lyon

Victory for Lyon would see them win four in a row in Ligue 1 for the first time this season, and set them up perfectly for a huge week which will see them face Lille and Manchester United, but very few have taken three points off Strasbourg recently. Rosenior's side are among the best in Europe in 2025, with the fewest goals conceded in Europe's top-five leagues since December, and a solid defence could frustrate the visitors in what should be a closely-fought affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 51.67%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 24.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-2 (8.59%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
StrasbourgDrawLyon
24.68% (0.038 0.04) 23.65% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 51.67% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)
Both teams to score 55.81% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.7% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)45.29% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.37% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)67.63% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.68% (0.018000000000001 0.02)32.31% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.18% (0.020999999999997 0.02)68.82% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.45% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)17.55% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.91% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)48.08% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Strasbourg 24.68%
    Lyon 51.67%
    Draw 23.65%
StrasbourgDrawLyon
1-0 @ 6.41% (0.011 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.62% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.37% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 1.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 24.68%
1-1 @ 11.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.67% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.65%
0-1 @ 9.87% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 9.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 8.59% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.63% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 2.45% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.17% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.38% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 51.67%

How you voted: Strasbourg vs Lyon

Strasbourg
23.3%
Draw
28.4%
Lyon
48.3%
116
Head to Head
Aug 30, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Lyon
4-3
Strasbourg
Tolisso (45+2'), Maitland-Niles (61'), Orban (63', 72')
Vinicius (33'), Orban (90+8'), Adryelson (90+7')
Nanasi (3'), Santos (48'), Emegha (58')
Doue (17'), Senaya (75')
May 19, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 34
Lyon
2-1
Strasbourg
Lacazette (39', 90+6' pen.)
Lacazette (90+7')
Diarra (63')
Vieira (80'), Santos (90+8')
Feb 27, 2024 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Lyon
0-0
Strasbourg
(Aggregate 0-0 | Lyon win 4-3 on penalties)
Caleta-Car (88')
Mwanga (64'), Sissoko (88'), Bellaarouch (90+1')
Aug 13, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Strasbourg
2-1
Lyon
Bellegarde (63'), Mothiba (75')
Doukoure (8'), Bellegarde (45+6')
Tagliafico (88')
Tolisso (45+5'), Kumbedi (61')
Apr 28, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 33
Strasbourg
1-2
Lyon
Sanson (15')
Lukeba (32'), Caqueret (36')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG31246184315378
2Marseille31184966432358
3Lille31168749321756
4MonacoMonaco31167858362255
5Lyon31166962422054
6Nice31159759392054
7StrasbourgStrasbourg31159751381354
8Lens31136123537-245
9Brest31135134953-444
10Auxerre31118124545041
11Rennes31122174644238
12Toulouse3198143839-135
13Reims3189143242-1033
14NantesNantes31711133550-1532
15Angers3186172950-2130
16Le HavreLe Havre3184193465-3128
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne3176183471-3727
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier3144232271-4916


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!