Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 53.07%. A win for Reims had a probability of 24.67% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Reims win was 1-2 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Reims |
| 53.07% ( | 22.26% ( | 24.67% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.61% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.06% ( | 38.94% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.74% ( | 61.26% ( |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.24% ( | 14.76% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57% ( | 43% ( |
| Reims Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.11% ( | 28.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.23% ( | 64.77% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lyon | Draw | Reims |
| 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 1-0 @ 8.16% ( 2-0 @ 7.81% ( 3-1 @ 6.18% ( 3-0 @ 4.98% ( 3-2 @ 3.84% ( 4-1 @ 2.96% ( 4-0 @ 2.38% ( 4-2 @ 1.84% ( 5-1 @ 1.13% ( 5-0 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 3.2% Total : 53.07% | 1-1 @ 10.13% ( 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0-0 @ 4.27% ( 3-3 @ 1.59% ( Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.26% | 1-2 @ 6.29% ( 0-1 @ 5.3% ( 0-2 @ 3.29% ( 1-3 @ 2.6% ( 2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0-3 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 3.35% Total : 24.67% |