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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19
Jan 25, 2025 at 8.05pm UK
Parc des Princes
Reims

PSG
1 - 1
Reims

Dembele (47')
Hernandez (35'), Barcola (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Nakamura (56')
Akieme (4'), Diakhon (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Reims, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSG 4-2 Man City
Wednesday, January 22 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Reims 1-1 Le Havre
Sunday, January 19 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 61.27%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Reims had a probability of 18.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 1-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for a Reims win it was 1-2 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawReims
61.27% (-3.31 -3.31)20.38% (0.759 0.76)18.34% (2.549 2.55)
Both teams to score 57.58% (2.878 2.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.45% (1.149 1.15)38.54% (-1.152 -1.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.15% (1.204 1.2)60.84% (-1.206 -1.21)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.85% (-0.56 -0.56)12.15% (0.557 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.24% (-1.194 -1.19)37.75% (1.192 1.19)
Reims Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.54% (3.667 3.67)34.46% (-3.67 -3.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.83% (3.72 3.72)71.17% (-3.722 -3.72)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 61.27%
    Reims 18.34%
    Draw 20.39%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawReims
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.3% (-0.959 -0.96)
1-0 @ 8.82% (-0.698 -0.7)
3-1 @ 6.96% (-0.145 -0.15)
3-0 @ 6.54% (-0.836 -0.84)
3-2 @ 3.71% (0.282 0.28)
4-1 @ 3.67% (-0.16 -0.16)
4-0 @ 3.45% (-0.527 -0.53)
4-2 @ 1.96% (0.109 0.11)
5-1 @ 1.55% (-0.104 -0.1)
5-0 @ 1.45% (-0.26 -0.26)
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 61.27%
1-1 @ 9.4% (0.22 0.22)
2-2 @ 5.28% (0.509 0.51)
0-0 @ 4.19% (-0.233 -0.23)
3-3 @ 1.32% (0.216 0.22)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.39%
1-2 @ 5.01% (0.582 0.58)
0-1 @ 4.46% (0.199 0.2)
0-2 @ 2.38% (0.321 0.32)
2-3 @ 1.88% (0.342 0.34)
1-3 @ 1.78% (0.355 0.36)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 18.34%

How you voted: PSG vs Reims

Paris Saint-Germain
80.7%
Draw
12.3%
Reims
7.0%
57
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 5
Reims
1-1
PSG
Nakamura (9')
Munetsi (44'), Kader Fofana (47')
Dembele (68')
Pacho (37')
Mar 10, 2024 12pm
Gameweek 25
PSG
2-2
Reims
Abdelhamid (17' og.), Ramos (19')
Ugarte (42'), Hakimi (54')
Munetsi (7'), Diakite (45')
De Smet (39'), Still (55'), Ito (79')
Nov 11, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 12
Reims
0-3
PSG

Abdelhamid (51')
Mbappe (3', 59', 82')
Jan 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
PSG
1-1
Reims
Neymar (51')
Balogun (90+6')
Oct 8, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 10
Reims
0-0
PSG