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Ligue 1

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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 13
Nov 30, 2024 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
Nantes

PSG
1 - 1
Nantes

Hakimi (2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Abline (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Bayern 1-0 PSG
Tuesday, November 26 at 8pm in Champions League

Nantes

All competitions
Last Game: Nantes 0-2 Le Havre
Sunday, November 24 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 74.29%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 10.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.35%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.26%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-2 (3.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawNantes
74.29% (0.117 0.12)15.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)10.14% (-0.116 -0.12)
Both teams to score 52.13% (-0.44 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.52% (-0.33499999999999 -0.33)34.48% (0.33 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.59% (-0.375 -0.38)56.41% (0.37 0.37)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.1% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)7.89% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.06% (-0.13799999999999 -0.14)27.94% (0.133 0.13)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.6% (-0.445 -0.45)43.4% (0.44 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.37% (-0.377 -0.38)79.63% (0.372 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 74.29%
    Nantes 10.14%
    Draw 15.57%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawNantes
2-0 @ 11.04% (0.13 0.13)
3-0 @ 9.35% (0.083 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.22% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.7% (0.124 0.12)
3-1 @ 7.8% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-0 @ 5.93% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 4.95% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.26% (-0.05 -0.05)
5-0 @ 3.01% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.52% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.07% (-0.037 -0.04)
6-0 @ 1.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-1 @ 1.06% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.05% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 74.29%
1-1 @ 7.26% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.85% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.43% (0.058 0.06)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 15.57%
1-2 @ 3.03% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-1 @ 2.86% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.19% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.07% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 10.14%

How you voted: PSG vs Nantes

Paris Saint-Germain
90.5%
Draw
7.9%
Nantes
1.6%
63
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