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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 13
Nov 30, 2024 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
Nantes

PSG
1 - 1
Nantes

Hakimi (2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Abline (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 1-0 PSG
Tuesday, November 26 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Nantes 0-2 Le Havre
Sunday, November 24 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 4-0 Nantes

Despite continental troubles, PSG remain near-perfect in Ligue 1 and should have no problem collecting another three points, doing so with a fourth home clean sheet in seven games at the Parc des Princes so far - the same tally they managed in the whole of last season. Nantes have been absolutely woeful of late, and on paper there are not many bigger mismatches on paper in Europe's top leagues this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 74.29%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 10.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.35%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.26%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-2 (3.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawNantes
74.29% (0.117 0.12) 15.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 10.14% (-0.116 -0.12)
Both teams to score 52.13% (-0.44 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.52% (-0.33499999999999 -0.33)34.48% (0.33 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.59% (-0.375 -0.38)56.41% (0.37 0.37)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.1% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)7.89% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.06% (-0.13799999999999 -0.14)27.94% (0.133 0.13)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.6% (-0.445 -0.45)43.4% (0.44 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.37% (-0.377 -0.38)79.63% (0.372 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 74.29%
    Nantes 10.14%
    Draw 15.57%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawNantes
2-0 @ 11.04% (0.13 0.13)
3-0 @ 9.35% (0.083 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.22% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.7% (0.124 0.12)
3-1 @ 7.8% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-0 @ 5.93% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 4.95% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.26% (-0.05 -0.05)
5-0 @ 3.01% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.52% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.07% (-0.037 -0.04)
6-0 @ 1.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-1 @ 1.06% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.05% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 74.29%
1-1 @ 7.26% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.85% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.43% (0.058 0.06)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 15.57%
1-2 @ 3.03% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-1 @ 2.86% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.19% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.07% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 10.14%

How you voted: PSG vs Nantes

Paris Saint-Germain
90.5%
Draw
7.9%
Nantes
1.6%
63
Head to Head
Feb 17, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 22
Nantes
0-2
PSG

Gourvennec (23'), Sissoko (77')
Hernandez (60'), Mbappe (78' pen.)
Dec 9, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 15
PSG
2-1
Nantes
Barcola (41'), Kolo (83')
Hernandez (90+2')
Mohamed (55')
Douglas (29'), Duverne (82'), Pierre-Gabriel (90+1')
Mar 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 26
PSG
4-2
Nantes
Messi (12'), Hadjam (17' og.), Pereira (60'), Mbappe (90+2')
Blas (31'), Ganago (38')
Sep 3, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 6
Nantes
0-3
PSG

Pallois (33')
Da Silva (24')
Mbappe (18', 54'), Mendes (68')
Bernat (45+1'), Verratti (50'), Mbappe (58'), Ramos (68')
Jul 31, 2022 7pm
Final
PSG
4-0
Nantes
Messi (22'), Neymar (45+5', 82' pen.), Ramos (57')
Vitinha (16')

Coco (38'), Moutoussamy (75')
Castelletto (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG31246184315378
2Marseille31184966432358
3Lille31168749321756
4MonacoMonaco31167858362255
5Lyon31166962422054
6Nice31159759392054
7StrasbourgStrasbourg31159751381354
8Lens31136123537-245
9Brest31135134953-444
10Auxerre31118124545041
11Rennes31122174644238
12Toulouse3198143839-135
13Reims3189143242-1033
14NantesNantes31711133550-1532
15Angers3186172950-2130
16Le HavreLe Havre3184193465-3128
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne3176183471-3727
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier3144232271-4916


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