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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Nice
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 7
Oct 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Allianz Riviera
PSG logo

Nice
1 - 1
PSG

Abdi (39')
Boudaoui (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mendes (52' og.)
Hakimi (36'), Marquinhos (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lazio 4-1 Nice
Thursday, October 3 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Arsenal 2-0 PSG
Tuesday, October 1 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Nice 1-3 Paris Saint-Germain

Only managing wins against Angers and Saint-Etienne so far this season, Nice have not proven their ability to earn a result against a top-class side. PSG will be hurting after their defeat at Arsenal earlier in the week, and we reckon that Les Parisiens should have enough firepower to respond with a comfortable victory at Allianz Riviera. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Nice had a probability of 33.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Nice win was 2-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
NiceDrawParis Saint-Germain
33.98% (0.052 0.05) 24.76% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 41.26% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Both teams to score 58.16% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.05% (0.052 0.05)44.95% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.69% (0.049999999999997 0.05)67.31% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.36% (0.055999999999997 0.06)25.64% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.46% (0.075000000000003 0.08)60.54% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.21% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)21.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45%55% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Nice 33.98%
    Paris Saint-Germain 41.26%
    Draw 24.75%
NiceDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 7.89% (0.008 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.61% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 5.18% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 3.58% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.73% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.35% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.22% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 33.98%
1-1 @ 11.58% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.01% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.59% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.75%
1-2 @ 8.83% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.51% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.49% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.48% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-3 @ 3.29% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.05% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.71%
0-4 @ 1.26% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 41.26%

How you voted: Nice vs PSG

Nice
13.7%
Draw
6.8%
Paris Saint-Germain
79.5%
117
Head to Head
May 15, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 32
Nice
1-2
PSG
Cho (32')
Rosario (90+3')
Bard (75')
Barcola (18'), Zague (23')
Zague (20'), Beraldo (26'), Marquinhos (33')
Mar 13, 2024 8.10pm
Quarter-Finals
PSG
3-1
Nice
Mbappe (14'), Ruiz (33'), Beraldo (60')
Laborde (37')
Sep 15, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 5
PSG
2-3
Nice
Mbappe (29', 87')
Barcola (83'), Skriniar (89')
Moffi (21', 68'), Laborde (53')
Thuram (35'), Bard (63'), Moffi (70'), Bulka (71'), Lotomba (90+5')
Apr 8, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 30
Nice
0-2
PSG
Messi (26'), Ramos (76')
Oct 1, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 9
PSG
2-1
Nice
Messi (29'), Mbappe (83')
Laborde (47')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG31246184315378
2Marseille31184966432358
3Lille31168749321756
4MonacoMonaco31167858362255
5Lyon31166962422054
6Nice31159759392054
7StrasbourgStrasbourg31159751381354
8Lens31136123537-245
9Brest31135134953-444
10Auxerre31118124545041
11Rennes31122174644238
12Toulouse3198143839-135
13Reims3189143242-1033
14NantesNantes31711133550-1532
15Angers3186172950-2130
16Le HavreLe Havre3184193465-3128
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne3176183471-3727
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier3144232271-4916


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